Trade Expectancy Calculator
Your trading stats compressed into one number: the average dollars each trade is worth before you take it. Positive expectancy plus discipline is the entire business.
Results (live)
Estimates only, not financial advice. All math runs in your browser; nothing you type leaves this page.
How it works
expectancy = win% × avg win − loss% × avg loss
Worked example
45% wins averaging $300 against $150 losses: each trade is worth +$52.50 on average, $5,250 per hundred trades. Flip the ratio and the same win rate bleeds out.
FAQ
How do I calculate my trading expectancy?
From your journal: win rate, average winner, average loser, into the formula above. Fifty trades minimum before the number means much.
Can a 30% win rate be profitable?
Comfortably, if winners average 3× losers: 0.3×3 − 0.7×1 = +0.2 per unit risked. Trend followers live here.
Related calculators
Estimates only, not financial, tax or investment advice. Verify numbers against your exchange or a professional before acting.